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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 11 August 2020

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 10
  3. 14
  4. 17
  5. 20
  6. 39
  7. 9
  8. 38

Jackpot€500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,717 of 4,852 under them

← 2020-08-10All recent draws2020-08-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 10 14 17 20 39 + 9 3829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 August 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum8th
  • odd20th
  • low94th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 333 of each

4323times
10367times
14334times
17310times
20

Prize breakdown · 2020-08-11

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€638.2Kto 76k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€152.5K
  • 419%€120.7K
  • 345%€288.8K
  • 1 other tier12%€76.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.32 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

347times
39323times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,716 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 17, 20, 39) with the draw of 10 October 2011 — its closest relative in 2,716 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 August 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 43% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.8 by chance
€152,463
  • 574≈ 78 by chance€1,030
  • 43,797≈ 4.3k by chance€31.79
  • 372,210≈ 78k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,797 winners, 12% fewer than the 4.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€152,463
    574€1,030
    43,797€31.79
    372,210€4.00
    R0€0.50