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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 6 August 2020

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 16
  3. 29
  4. 39
  5. 41
  6. 44
  7. 1
  8. 46

Jackpot€800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,713 of 4,855 under them

← 2020-08-05All recent draws2020-08-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 16 29 39 41 44 + 1 4629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 August 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 332 of each

15330times
16328times
29308times
39321times
41

Prize breakdown · 2020-08-06

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€638.1Kto 66k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • 5+C27%€169.3K
  • 421%€134.0K
  • 339%€250.1K
  • 1 other tier13%€84.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.28 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

327times
44321times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,712 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (16, 29, 39, 44) with the draw of 17 February 2020 — its closest relative in 2,712 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 August 2020): 39 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

184

The numbers add up to 184 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 47% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.3 by chance
€169,291
  • 547≈ 68 by chance€1,801
  • 43,074≈ 3.7k by chance€43.60
  • 362,535≈ 68k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,074 winners, 18% fewer than the 3.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€169,291
    547€1,801
    43,074€43.60
    362,535€4.00
    R0€0.50