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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 4 August 2020

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 11
  3. 13
  4. 17
  5. 36
  6. 47
  7. 0
  8. 34

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,711 of 4,855 under them

← 2020-08-03All recent draws2020-08-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 11 13 17 36 47 + 0 3429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 August 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum27th
  • odd94th
  • low77th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 332 of each

5334times
11336times
13322times
17309times
36

Prize breakdown · 2020-08-04

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€618.4Kto 84k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • 5+C21%€131.1K
  • 417%€103.8K
  • 351%€318.0K
  • 1 other tier11%€65.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.35 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

374times
47337times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,710 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 11, 36, 47) with the draw of 9 August 2013 — its closest relative in 2,710 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 August 2020): 11, 36 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

47 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 34% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5≈ 4.2 by chance
€26,219
  • 575≈ 86 by chance€874
  • 44,645≈ 4.7k by chance€22.34
  • 379,499≈ 86k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 79,499 winners, 8% fewer than the 86k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C5€26,219
    575€874
    44,645€22.34
    379,499€4.00
    R0€0.50