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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 24 July 2020

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 7
  3. 9
  4. 13
  5. 15
  6. 23
  7. 9
  8. 28

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,702 of 4,863 under them

← 2020-07-23All recent draws2020-07-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 7 9 13 15 23 + 9 2829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 July 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

11oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 11 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 0% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd99th
  • low99th
  • widest gap5th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread2th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 331 of each

5333times
7309times
9325times
13319times
15

Prize breakdown · 2020-07-24

  • Lines in play≈ 6.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€952.8Kto 121k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 57lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.49

Where the money went

  • 624%€227.2K
  • 5+C13%€121.2K
  • 347%€448K
  • 2 other tiers16%€156.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.49 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

329times
23317times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,701 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 7, 9, 15) with the draw of 21 November 2016 — its closest relative in 2,701 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 July 2020): 23 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

72

The numbers add up to 72 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€227,179
  • 5+C6≈ 5.9 by chance€20,194
  • 5263≈ 121 by chance€230
  • 48,542≈ 6.7k by chance€11.23
  • 3111,999≈ 122k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 8,542 winners, 28% more than the 6.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€227,179
    5+C6€20,194
    5263€230
    48,542€11.23
    3111,999€4.00
    R0€0.50