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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 3 July 2020

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 21
  3. 25
  4. 34
  5. 39
  6. 44
  7. 8
  8. 22

Jackpot€2,100,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,684 of 4,854 under them

← 2020-07-02All recent draws2020-07-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 21 25 34 39 44 + 8 2229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 July 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 329 of each

2346times
21322times
25343times
34332times
39

Prize breakdown · 2020-07-03

  • Lines in play≈ 5.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€806.7Kto 89k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.37

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€204.0K
  • 420%€161.5K
  • 342%€339.1K
  • 1 other tier13%€102.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.37 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

317times
44318times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,683 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 21, 34, 39) with the draw of 4 July 2011 — its closest relative in 2,683 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 July 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

165

The numbers add up to 165 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 4.5 by chance
€68,016
  • 568≈ 92 by chance€1,500
  • 44,234≈ 5.1k by chance€38.15
  • 384,771≈ 92k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,234 winners, 16% fewer than the 5.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€68,016
    568€1,500
    44,234€38.15
    384,771€4.00
    R0€0.50