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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 23 December 2019

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 21
  3. 30
  4. 35
  5. 39
  6. 40
  7. 3
  8. 28

Jackpot€500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,578 of 4,854 under them

← 2019-12-21All recent draws2019-12-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 21 30 35 39 40 + 3 2829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 December 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 316 of each

11314times
21310times
30309times
35320times
39

Prize breakdown · 2019-12-23

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€708.4Kto 78k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€180.1K
  • 420%€142.6K
  • 342%€295.7K
  • 1 other tier13%€90.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.33 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

304times
40325times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,577 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (11, 21, 30, 35, 40) with the draw of 21 April 2015 — its closest relative in 2,577 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 4.7% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 December 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

176

The numbers add up to 176 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 50% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 3.9 by chance
€60,025
  • 575≈ 80 by chance€1,200
  • 43,870≈ 4.4k by chance€36.84
  • 373,920≈ 80k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,870 winners, 12% fewer than the 4.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€60,025
    575€1,200
    43,870€36.84
    373,920€4.00
    R0€0.50