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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 24 October 2019

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 8
  4. 9
  5. 12
  6. 42
  7. 5
  8. 49

Jackpot€800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,527 of 4,857 under them

← 2019-10-23All recent draws2019-10-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 8 9 12 42 + 5 4929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 October 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

22oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 22 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd20th
  • low94th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 309 of each

2332times
3304times
8291times
9313times
12

Prize breakdown · 2019-10-24

  • Lines in play≈ 5.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€694.5Kto 94k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.39

Where the money went

  • 532%€221.6K
  • 417%€117K
  • 351%€355.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.39 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

306times
42318times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,526 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 8, 9, 42) with the draw of 13 June 2018 — its closest relative in 2,526 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 October 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

76

The numbers add up to 76 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3, 8–9. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
≈ 4.7 by chance
no winners
  • 583≈ 96 by chance€2,670
  • 45,325≈ 5.3k by chance€21.97
  • 388,978≈ 97k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 88,978 winners, 8% fewer than the 97k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    583€2,670
    45,325€21.97
    388,978€4.00
    R0€0.50