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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 16 October 2019

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 8
  3. 9
  4. 25
  5. 27
  6. 39
  7. 2
  8. 44

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,520 of 4,857 under them

← 2019-10-15All recent draws2019-10-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 8 9 25 27 39 + 2 4429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 October 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.

  • sum12th
  • odd94th
  • low77th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread47th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 308 of each

3302times
8288times
9312times
25324times
27

Prize breakdown · 2019-10-16

  • Lines in play≈ 5.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€702.2Kto 92k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.38

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€154.6K
  • 417%€122.4K
  • 350%€348K
  • 1 other tier11%€77.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.38 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

314times
39298times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,519 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 9, 25, 39) with the draw of 15 June 2019 — its closest relative in 2,519 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 October 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 4.6 by chance
€154,568
  • 579≈ 94 by chance€978
  • 44,775≈ 5.2k by chance€25.63
  • 386,993≈ 94k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 86,993 winners, 8% fewer than the 94k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€154,568
    579€978
    44,775€25.63
    386,993€4.00
    R0€0.50