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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 3 October 2019

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 8
  3. 15
  4. 18
  5. 38
  6. 40
  7. 0
  8. 21

Jackpot€800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,509 of 4,857 under them

← 2019-10-02All recent draws2019-10-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 8 15 18 38 40 + 0 2129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.

  • sum23th
  • odd5th
  • low77th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 307 of each

6275times
8287times
15308times
18308times
38

Prize breakdown · 2019-10-03

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€708.7Kto 83k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€171.4K
  • 419%€135.7K
  • 345%€315.8K
  • 1 other tier12%€85.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.35 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

301times
40317times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,508 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 18, 40) with the draw of 2 September 2019 — its closest relative in 2,508 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 October 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

125

The numbers add up to 125 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 43 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 43% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.2 by chance
€85,720
  • 578≈ 85 by chance€1,099
  • 44,160≈ 4.7k by chance€32.63
  • 378,954≈ 86k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,160 winners, 12% fewer than the 4.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€85,720
    578€1,099
    44,160€32.63
    378,954€4.00
    R0€0.50