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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 25 September 2019

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 25
  4. 39
  5. 40
  6. 41
  7. 5
  8. 30

Jackpot€500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,502 of 4,858 under them

← 2019-09-24All recent draws2019-09-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 25 39 40 41 + 5 3029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 September 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 73% of every possible ticket.

  • sum55th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread52th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 306 of each

4293times
5307times
25319times
39294times
40

Prize breakdown · 2019-09-25

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€721.2Kto 81k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.34

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€180.4K
  • 420%€142.9K
  • 343%€307.7K
  • 1 other tier13%€90.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.34 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

316times
41300times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,501 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (25, 39, 40, 41) with the draw of 27 June 2018 — its closest relative in 2,501 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 September 2019): 4 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

154

The numbers add up to 154 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5, 39–40, 40–41. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 47% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 4.1 by chance
€180,442
  • 581≈ 83 by chance€1,114
  • 44,089≈ 4.6k by chance€34.94
  • 376,920≈ 84k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,089 winners, 11% fewer than the 4.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€180,442
    581€1,114
    44,089€34.94
    376,920€4.00
    R0€0.50