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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 23 September 2019

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 13
  3. 15
  4. 20
  5. 30
  6. 40
  7. 4
  8. 8

Jackpot€2,200,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,500 of 4,858 under them

← 2019-09-21All recent draws2019-09-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 13 15 20 30 40 + 4 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 September 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread22th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 306 of each

10346times
13286times
15307times
20312times
30

Prize breakdown · 2019-09-23

  • Lines in play≈ 6.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.1Mto 113k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 55lines took a prize
  • 628 winnerschance said 0.44

Where the money went

  • 673%€2.2M
  • 5+C6.3%€194.8K
  • 313%€402.6K
  • 2 other tiers8.1%€251.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 628≈ 0.44 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

299times
40315times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,499 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 13, 20, 30) with the draw of 29 June 2018 — its closest relative in 2,499 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 September 2019): 13 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

128

The numbers add up to 128 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€80,347
  • 5+C6≈ 5.3 by chance€32,461
  • 5652≈ 109 by chance€149
  • 411,341≈ 6.0k by chance€13.60
  • 3100,649≈ 109k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 11,341 winners, 89% more than the 6.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    628€80,347
    5+C6€32,461
    5652€149
    411,341€13.60
    3100,649€4.00
    R0€0.50