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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 16 May 2019

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 24
  3. 30
  4. 37
  5. 42
  6. 45
  7. 4
  8. 23

Jackpot€500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,389 of 4,855 under them

← 2019-05-15All recent draws2019-05-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 24 30 37 42 45 + 4 2329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 May 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

33oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.

  • sum91th
  • odd20th
  • low20th
  • widest gap5th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 292 of each

16296times
24307times
30287times
37291times
42

Prize breakdown · 2019-05-16

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€657.9Kto 72k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€167.6K
  • 420%€132.7K
  • 342%€273.9K
  • 1 other tier13%€83.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.30 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

303times
45291times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,388 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (16, 24, 42, 45) with the draw of 12 October 2015 — its closest relative in 2,388 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 May 2019): 16 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

194

The numbers add up to 194 — the 91th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 49% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.6 by chance
€167,564
  • 590≈ 74 by chance€931
  • 43,771≈ 4.1k by chance€35.18
  • 368,473≈ 74k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 68,473 winners, 8% fewer than the 74k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€167,564
    590€931
    43,771€35.18
    368,473€4.00
    R0€0.50