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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 4 May 2019

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 15
  3. 17
  4. 24
  5. 41
  6. 46
  7. 4
  8. 8

Jackpot€1,700,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,379 of 4,855 under them

← 2019-05-03All recent draws2019-05-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 15 17 24 41 46 + 4 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 May 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.

  • sum52th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap65th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread52th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 291 of each

9294times
15291times
17266times
24306times
41

Prize breakdown · 2019-05-04

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.5Mto 88k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.36

Where the money went

  • 671%€1.8M
  • 5+C6.9%€172.7K
  • 313%€331.5K
  • 2 other tiers9.0%€223.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.36 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

279times
46291times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,378 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 15, 17, 41) with the draw of 24 April 2019 — its closest relative in 2,378 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 May 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

152

The numbers add up to 152 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,759,540
  • 5+C2≈ 4.4 by chance€86,364
  • 591≈ 90 by chance€949
  • 44,557≈ 4.9k by chance€30.01
  • 382,877≈ 90k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 82,877 winners, 8% fewer than the 90k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€1,759,540
    5+C2€86,364
    591€949
    44,557€30.01
    382,877€4.00
    R0€0.50