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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 4 March 2019

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 4
  3. 6
  4. 27
  5. 35
  6. 48
  7. 5
  8. 36

Jackpot€1,500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,326 of 4,855 under them

← 2019-03-02All recent draws2019-03-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 4 6 27 35 48 + 5 3629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 March 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.

  • sum21th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 285 of each

3283times
4269times
6255times
27286times
35

Prize breakdown · 2019-03-04

  • Lines in play≈ 5.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€821.4Kto 101k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.42

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€190.6K
  • 418%€150.9K
  • 347%€384.7K
  • 1 other tier12%€95.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.42 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

284times
48284times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,325 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 4, 6, 35) with the draw of 4 April 2018 — its closest relative in 2,325 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 March 2019): 35 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 5.1 by chance
€63,523
  • 588≈ 104 by chance€1,083
  • 45,109≈ 5.7k by chance€29.53
  • 396,167≈ 104k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,109 winners, 11% fewer than the 5.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€63,523
    588€1,083
    45,109€29.53
    396,167€4.00
    R0€0.50