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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 15 February 2019

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 12
  3. 16
  4. 28
  5. 40
  6. 41
  7. 1
  8. 17

Jackpot€1,200,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,312 of 4,855 under them

← 2019-02-14All recent draws2019-02-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 12 16 28 40 41 + 1 1729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 February 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.

  • sum39th
  • odd5th
  • low48th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread52th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 283 of each

4265times
12284times
16285times
28290times
40

Prize breakdown · 2019-02-15

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€782.2Kto 88k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.37

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€195.9K
  • 420%€155.1K
  • 343%€333.1K
  • 1 other tier13%€98.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.37 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

292times
41272times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,311 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 12, 16, 28) with the draw of 24 August 2016 — its closest relative in 2,311 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 February 2019): 12, 16 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

141

The numbers add up to 141 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.4 by chance
€97,972
  • 579≈ 90 by chance€1,240
  • 44,453≈ 5.0k by chance€34.84
  • 383,281≈ 90k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,453 winners, 10% fewer than the 5.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€97,972
    579€1,240
    44,453€34.84
    383,281€4.00
    R0€0.50