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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 29 December 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 12
  4. 13
  5. 21
  6. 40
  7. 0
  8. 14

Jackpot€500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,271 of 4,855 under them

← 2018-12-28All recent draws2018-12-31 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 12 13 21 40 + 0 1429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 December 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum5th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread47th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 278 of each

4261times
5276times
12277times
13253times
21

Prize breakdown · 2018-12-29

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€660.8Kto 84k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€149.5K
  • 418%€118.4K
  • 348%€318.1K
  • 1 other tier11%€74.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.35 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

274times
40286times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,270 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 5, 12, 40) with the draw of 26 August 2017 — its closest relative in 2,270 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 December 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

95

The numbers add up to 95 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5, 12–13. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 50 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
4≈ 4.2 by chance
€37,385
  • 583≈ 86 by chance€901
  • 44,335≈ 4.7k by chance€27.31
  • 379,518≈ 86k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,335 winners, 9% fewer than the 4.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C4€37,385
    583€901
    44,335€27.31
    379,518€4.00
    R0€0.50