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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 12 December 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 29
  3. 40
  4. 41
  5. 42
  6. 47
  7. 3
  8. 34

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,256 of 4,854 under them

← 2018-12-11All recent draws2018-12-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 29 40 41 42 47 + 3 3429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 December 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd48th
  • low5th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 276 of each

14269times
29261times
40284times
41261times
42

Prize breakdown · 2018-12-12

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€669.2Kto 70k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • 539%€263.7K
  • 421%€139.2K
  • 340%€266.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.29 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

286times
47279times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,255 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (40, 41, 42, 47) with the draw of 22 March 2010 — its closest relative in 2,255 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 December 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

213

The numbers add up to 213 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41, 41–42. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 52% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 3.5 by chance
no winners
  • 534≈ 72 by chance€7,756
  • 43,439≈ 4.0k by chance€40.47
  • 366,589≈ 72k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,439 winners, 13% fewer than the 4.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    534€7,756
    43,439€40.47
    366,589€4.00
    R0€0.50