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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 23 October 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 17
  3. 20
  4. 21
  5. 36
  6. 44
  7. 0
  8. 26

Jackpot€800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,213 of 4,854 under them

← 2018-10-22All recent draws2018-10-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 17 20 21 36 44 + 0 2629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

73oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 73 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.

  • sum39th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread72th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 271 of each

3273times
17237times
20283times
21270times
36

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-23

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€665.6Kto 78k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • 536%€242.4K
  • 419%€127.9K
  • 344%€295.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.32 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

314times
44256times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,212 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (20, 21, 36, 44) with the draw of 10 September 2013 — its closest relative in 2,212 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 October 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

141

The numbers add up to 141 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 3.9 by chance
no winners
  • 578≈ 80 by chance€3,107
  • 44,099≈ 4.4k by chance€31.21
  • 373,812≈ 80k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 73,812 winners, 8% fewer than the 80k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    578€3,107
    44,099€31.21
    373,812€4.00
    R0€0.50