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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 15 October 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 20
  4. 26
  5. 28
  6. 48
  7. 5
  8. 39

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,206 of 4,854 under them

← 2018-10-13All recent draws2018-10-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 20 26 28 48 + 5 3929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum23th
  • odd5th
  • low48th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 270 of each

1277times
2289times
20282times
26260times
28

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€638.8Kto 74k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.31

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€156.3K
  • 419%€123.7K
  • 344%€280.6K
  • 1 other tier12%€78.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.31 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

273times
48267times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,205 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 2, 20, 48) with the draw of 31 July 2018 — its closest relative in 2,205 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 October 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

125

The numbers add up to 125 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 3.7 by chance
€78,137
  • 564≈ 76 by chance€1,221
  • 43,709≈ 4.2k by chance€33.36
  • 370,160≈ 76k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,709 winners, 11% fewer than the 4.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€78,137
    564€1,221
    43,709€33.36
    370,160€4.00
    R0€0.50