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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 3 October 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 15
  3. 16
  4. 32
  5. 40
  6. 41
  7. 9
  8. 29

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,196 of 4,854 under them

← 2018-10-02All recent draws2018-10-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 15 16 32 40 41 + 9 2929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

70oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.

  • sum56th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread22th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 269 of each

11271times
15269times
16270times
32264times
40

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-03

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€646.8Kto 70k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • 5+C26%€165.7K
  • 420%€131.2K
  • 341%€267.0K
  • 1 other tier13%€82.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.29 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

279times
41253times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,195 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 16, 32, 41) with the draw of 12 April 2018 — its closest relative in 2,195 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 October 2018): 15 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

155

The numbers add up to 155 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16, 40–41. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 48% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 3.5 by chance
€82,873
  • 561≈ 72 by chance€1,359
  • 43,491≈ 4.0k by chance€37.59
  • 366,751≈ 72k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,491 winners, 12% fewer than the 4.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€82,873
    561€1,359
    43,491€37.59
    366,751€4.00
    R0€0.50