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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 15 September 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 5
  3. 17
  4. 20
  5. 22
  6. 43
  7. 3
  8. 19

Jackpot€1,500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,181 of 4,854 under them

← 2018-09-14All recent draws2018-09-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 5 17 20 22 43 + 3 1929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 September 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.

  • sum11th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread72th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 267 of each

2282times
5263times
17234times
20280times
22

Prize breakdown · 2018-09-15

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€699.9Kto 88k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.37

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€159.5K
  • 418%€126.3K
  • 348%€334.4K
  • 1 other tier11%€79.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.37 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

272times
43250times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,180 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 17, 20, 22) with the draw of 4 October 2017 — its closest relative in 2,180 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 September 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

109

The numbers add up to 109 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.4 by chance
€79,730
  • 591≈ 90 by chance€876
  • 44,706≈ 5.0k by chance€26.83
  • 383,603≈ 91k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 83,603 winners, 8% fewer than the 91k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€79,730
    591€876
    44,706€26.83
    383,603€4.00
    R0€0.50