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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 17 August 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 9
  3. 14
  4. 21
  5. 28
  6. 46
  7. 0
  8. 49

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,156 of 4,852 under them

← 2018-08-16All recent draws2018-08-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 9 14 21 28 46 + 0 4929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 August 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 60% of every possible ticket.

  • sum24th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread57th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 264 of each

8249times
9254times
14257times
21261times
28

Prize breakdown · 2018-08-17

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€643.5Kto 81k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.34

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€146.6K
  • 418%€116.1K
  • 348%€307.6K
  • 1 other tier11%€73.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.34 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

268times
46255times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,155 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 9, 14, 21) with the draw of 12 January 2011 — its closest relative in 2,155 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 August 2018): 28 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

126

The numbers add up to 126 — the 23th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 56 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.1 by chance
€73,283
  • 569≈ 83 by chance€1,062
  • 44,220≈ 4.6k by chance€27.50
  • 376,904≈ 84k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,220 winners, 8% fewer than the 4.6k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€73,283
    569€1,062
    44,220€27.50
    376,904€4.00
    R0€0.50