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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 12 July 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 12
  3. 21
  4. 38
  5. 41
  6. 49
  7. 7
  8. 39

Jackpot€1,500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,125 of 4,854 under them

← 2018-07-11All recent draws2018-07-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 12 21 38 41 49 + 7 3929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 73% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap65th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 260 of each

7250times
12261times
21255times
38260times
41

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-12

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€729.0Kto 87k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.36

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€174.3K
  • 419%€138.0K
  • 345%€329.6K
  • 1 other tier12%€87.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.36 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

245times
49256times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,124 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 12, 38, 41) with the draw of 10 August 2016 — its closest relative in 2,124 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 July 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

168

The numbers add up to 168 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 4.4 by chance
€174,318
  • 572≈ 89 by chance€1,211
  • 44,409≈ 4.9k by chance€31.30
  • 382,389≈ 89k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,409 winners, 10% fewer than the 4.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€174,318
    572€1,211
    44,409€31.30
    382,389€4.00
    R0€0.50