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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 2 July 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 20
  2. 29
  3. 32
  4. 40
  5. 41
  6. 43
  7. 6
  8. 45

Jackpot€800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,116 of 4,854 under them

← 2018-06-30All recent draws2018-07-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed20 29 32 40 41 43 + 6 4529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 13% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd48th
  • low5th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 259 of each

20268times
29241times
32257times
40270times
41

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-02

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€701.0Kto 72k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • 5+C26%€185.7K
  • 421%€147.0K
  • 339%€275.5K
  • 1 other tier13%€92.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.30 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

243times
43239times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,115 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (20, 32, 40, 41) with the draw of 2 February 2017 — its closest relative in 2,115 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 June 2018): 29 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

205

The numbers add up to 205 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 54% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
4≈ 3.6 by chance
€46,414
  • 556≈ 75 by chance€1,658
  • 43,440≈ 4.1k by chance€42.73
  • 368,870≈ 75k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,440 winners, 16% fewer than the 4.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C4€46,414
    556€1,658
    43,440€42.73
    368,870€4.00
    R0€0.50