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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 15 May 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 10
  3. 15
  4. 17
  5. 31
  6. 49
  7. 6
  8. 34

Jackpot€1,100,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,075 of 4,855 under them

← 2018-05-14All recent draws2018-05-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 10 15 17 31 49 + 6 3429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 May 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.

  • sum27th
  • odd94th
  • low77th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 254 of each

7245times
10285times
15254times
17226times
31

Prize breakdown · 2018-05-15

  • Lines in play≈ 5.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€720.4Kto 96k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.40

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€156.5K
  • 417%€123.9K
  • 350%€361.9K
  • 1 other tier11%€78.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.40 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

268times
49251times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,074 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 10, 15, 17) with the draw of 11 April 2017 — its closest relative in 2,074 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 May 2018): 10, 17 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 34% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
4≈ 4.8 by chance
€39,113
  • 578≈ 98 by chance€1,003
  • 45,062≈ 5.4k by chance€24.47
  • 390,472≈ 98k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 90,472 winners, 8% fewer than the 98k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C4€39,113
    578€1,003
    45,062€24.47
    390,472€4.00
    R0€0.50