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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 16 March 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 11
  3. 15
  4. 18
  5. 20
  6. 21
  7. 2
  8. 44

Jackpot€1,100,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,024 of 4,854 under them

← 2018-03-15All recent draws2018-03-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 11 15 18 20 21 + 2 4429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 March 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

20oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 20 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd77th
  • low99th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 248 of each

5237times
11251times
15248times
18249times
20

Prize breakdown · 2018-03-16

  • Lines in play≈ 6.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€794.8Kto 106k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.44

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€172.7K
  • 417%€136.7K
  • 350%€399.0K
  • 1 other tier11%€86.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.44 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

255times
21245times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,023 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 18, 20, 21) with the draw of 19 January 2016 — its closest relative in 2,023 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 March 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

90

The numbers add up to 90 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 28% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5≈ 5.3 by chance
€34,547
  • 5121≈ 108 by chance€714
  • 45,953≈ 5.9k by chance€22.97
  • 399,742≈ 108k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 99,742 winners, 8% fewer than the 108k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C5€34,547
    5121€714
    45,953€22.97
    399,742€4.00
    R0€0.50