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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 12 March 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 23
  3. 24
  4. 31
  5. 33
  6. 39
  7. 4
  8. 20

Jackpot€500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,020 of 4,855 under them

← 2018-03-10All recent draws2018-03-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 23 24 31 33 39 + 4 2029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 March 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

71oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.

  • sum52th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread52th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 247 of each

2261times
23247times
24265times
31257times
33

Prize breakdown · 2018-03-12

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 78k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • 646%€596.0K
  • 5+C13%€170.7K
  • 323%€298.1K
  • 2 other tiers17%€220.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.33 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

245times
39238times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,019 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 23, 24, 31) with the draw of 12 March 2013 — its closest relative in 2,019 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 March 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

152

The numbers add up to 152 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 43% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€596,012
  • 5+C3≈ 3.9 by chance€56,902
  • 554≈ 81 by chance€1,581
  • 43,452≈ 4.4k by chance€39.15
  • 374,523≈ 81k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,452 winners, 22% fewer than the 4.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€596,012
    5+C3€56,902
    554€1,581
    43,452€39.15
    374,523€4.00
    R0€0.50