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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 24 January 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 20
  3. 31
  4. 40
  5. 44
  6. 46
  7. 3
  8. 49

Jackpot€500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,980 of 4,854 under them

← 2018-01-23All recent draws2018-01-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 20 31 40 44 46 + 3 4929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 January 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.

  • sum87th
  • odd5th
  • low20th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 242 of each

6220times
20252times
31254times
40253times
44

Prize breakdown · 2018-01-24

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€658.8Kto 69k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • 539%€259.7K
  • 421%€137.1K
  • 340%€262.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.29 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

229times
46227times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,979 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 20, 31, 46) with the draw of 12 July 2016 — its closest relative in 1,979 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 January 2018): 20, 40 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

187

The numbers add up to 187 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 47 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 50% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 3.5 by chance
no winners
  • 573≈ 71 by chance€3,558
  • 43,218≈ 3.9k by chance€42.59
  • 365,504≈ 71k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,218 winners, 18% fewer than the 3.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    573€3,558
    43,218€42.59
    365,504€4.00
    R0€0.50