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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 22 January 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 12
  3. 14
  4. 15
  5. 21
  6. 28
  7. 7
  8. 17

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,978 of 4,854 under them

← 2018-01-20All recent draws2018-01-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 12 14 15 21 28 + 7 1729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 January 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 242 of each

3246times
12244times
14236times
15242times
21

Prize breakdown · 2018-01-22

  • Lines in play≈ 5.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€915.1Kto 95k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.39

Where the money went

  • 627%€251.0K
  • 5+C15%€133.9K
  • 339%€357.4K
  • 2 other tiers19%€172.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.39 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

241times
28242times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,977 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (12, 14, 15, 28) with the draw of 10 December 2010 — its closest relative in 1,977 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 January 2018): 28 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

93

The numbers add up to 93 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 26% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€250,971
  • 5+C1≈ 4.7 by chance€133,851
  • 5115≈ 97 by chance€582
  • 45,374≈ 5.3k by chance€19.72
  • 389,356≈ 97k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 89,356 winners, 8% fewer than the 97k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€250,971
    5+C1€133,851
    5115€582
    45,374€19.72
    389,356€4.00
    R0€0.50