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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 17 November 2017

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 10
  3. 33
  4. 40
  5. 41
  6. 42
  7. 3
  8. 21

Jackpot€2,100,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,922 of 4,854 under them

← 2017-11-16All recent draws2017-11-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 10 33 40 41 42 + 3 2129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 November 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum77th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap91th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 235 of each

9229times
10262times
33233times
40246times
41

Prize breakdown · 2017-11-17

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.1Mto 90k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.38

Where the money went

  • 674%€2.3M
  • 510%€302.4K
  • 311%€342.7K
  • 1 other tier5.2%€159.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.38 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

222times
42265times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,921 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 10, 33, 42) with the draw of 28 September 2015 — its closest relative in 1,921 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 November 2017): 42 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

175

The numbers add up to 175 — the 77th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10, 40–41, 41–42. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 51% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,251,922
  • 5+C0≈ 4.5 by chanceno winners
  • 578≈ 93 by chance€3,877
  • 44,533≈ 5.1k by chance€35.21
  • 385,676≈ 93k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,533 winners, 11% fewer than the 5.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€2,251,922
    5+C0€0.00
    578€3,877
    44,533€35.21
    385,676€4.00
    R0€0.50