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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 23 October 2017

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 18
  2. 21
  3. 40
  4. 42
  5. 46
  6. 48
  7. 2
  8. 22

Jackpot€800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,900 of 4,854 under them

← 2017-10-21All recent draws2017-10-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed18 21 40 42 46 48 + 2 2229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 October 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

33oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.

  • sum98th
  • odd5th
  • low20th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread22th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 233 of each

18233times
21227times
40242times
42261times
46

Prize breakdown · 2017-10-23

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.6Mto 73k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • 657%€895.8K
  • 5+C11%€175.2K
  • 317%€274.7K
  • 2 other tiers14%€226.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.30 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

218times
48231times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,899 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (18, 42, 46, 48) with the draw of 1 December 2014 — its closest relative in 1,899 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 October 2017): 21, 48 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

215

The numbers add up to 215 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 52% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€895,769
  • 5+C1≈ 3.6 by chance€175,154
  • 562≈ 74 by chance€1,413
  • 44,012≈ 4.1k by chance€34.56
  • 368,687≈ 75k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 68,687 winners, 8% fewer than the 75k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€895,769
    5+C1€175,154
    562€1,413
    44,012€34.56
    368,687€4.00
    R0€0.50