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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 12 October 2017

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 21
  3. 39
  4. 40
  5. 41
  6. 45
  7. 8
  8. 23

Jackpot€1,100,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,891 of 4,855 under them

← 2017-10-11All recent draws2017-10-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 21 39 40 41 45 + 8 2329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 October 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

26oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.

  • sum87th
  • odd94th
  • low20th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 231 of each

1234times
21224times
39223times
40241times
41

Prize breakdown · 2017-10-12

  • Lines in play≈ 2.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€477.0Kto 49k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • 5+C27%€126.5K
  • 421%€100.2K
  • 339%€187.1K
  • 1 other tier13%€63.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.21 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

221times
45226times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,890 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 21, 45) with the draw of 29 September 2017 — its closest relative in 1,890 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 October 2017): 21 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

187

The numbers add up to 187 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40, 40–41. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 51% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 2.5 by chance
€42,172
  • 536≈ 51 by chance€1,757
  • 42,223≈ 2.8k by chance€45.06
  • 346,772≈ 51k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 2,223 winners, 20% fewer than the 2.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€42,172
    536€1,757
    42,223€45.06
    346,772€4.00
    R0€0.50