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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 9 October 2017

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 11
  3. 35
  4. 44
  5. 45
  6. 48
  7. 8
  8. 37

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,888 of 4,854 under them

← 2017-10-07All recent draws2017-10-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 11 35 44 45 48 + 8 3729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 October 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum87th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 231 of each

4218times
11238times
35225times
44219times
45

Prize breakdown · 2017-10-09

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€604.3Kto 69k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€149.1K
  • 420%€118.0K
  • 343%€262.6K
  • 1 other tier12%€74.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.29 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

225times
48229times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,887 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 11, 45, 48) with the draw of 15 July 2016 — its closest relative in 1,887 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 October 2017): 48 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

187

The numbers add up to 187 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 44–45. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 48% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 3.5 by chance
€49,703
  • 568≈ 71 by chance€1,096
  • 43,268≈ 3.9k by chance€36.12
  • 365,638≈ 71k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,268 winners, 16% fewer than the 3.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€49,703
    568€1,096
    43,268€36.12
    365,638€4.00
    R0€0.50