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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 28 September 2017

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 4
  3. 16
  4. 28
  5. 32
  6. 42
  7. 2
  8. 40

Jackpot€1,800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,879 of 4,855 under them

← 2017-09-27All recent draws2017-09-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 4 16 28 32 42 + 2 4029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 September 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 46% of every possible ticket.

  • sum21th
  • odd5th
  • low48th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread72th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 230 of each

1231times
4215times
16236times
28231times
32

Prize breakdown · 2017-09-28

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.6Mto 81k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.34

Where the money went

  • 673%€1.9M
  • 5+C6.8%€176.5K
  • 312%€309.2K
  • 2 other tiers8.7%€228.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.34 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

229times
42260times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,878 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 16, 32, 42) with the draw of 27 July 2015 — its closest relative in 1,878 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 September 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,894,781
  • 5+C1≈ 4.1 by chance€176,525
  • 588≈ 84 by chance€1,003
  • 44,077≈ 4.6k by chance€34.28
  • 377,300≈ 84k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,077 winners, 12% fewer than the 4.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€1,894,781
    5+C1€176,525
    588€1,003
    44,077€34.28
    377,300€4.00
    R0€0.50