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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 11 August 2017

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 7
  3. 30
  4. 43
  5. 45
  6. 48
  7. 1
  8. 42

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,838 of 4,854 under them

← 2017-08-10All recent draws2017-08-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 7 30 43 45 48 + 1 4229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 August 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.

  • sum80th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap91th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 225 of each

5220times
7220times
30213times
43211times
45

Prize breakdown · 2017-08-11

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€648.8Kto 77k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€154.8K
  • 419%€122.6K
  • 345%€293.9K
  • 1 other tier12%€77.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.32 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

218times
48220times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,837 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 7, 30, 45) with the draw of 29 December 2015 — its closest relative in 1,837 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 August 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

178

The numbers add up to 178 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 40% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 3.9 by chance
€77,422
  • 561≈ 80 by chance€1,269
  • 43,771≈ 4.4k by chance€32.51
  • 373,474≈ 80k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,771 winners, 14% fewer than the 4.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€77,422
    561€1,269
    43,771€32.51
    373,474€4.00
    R0€0.50