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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 5 August 2017

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 8
  3. 16
  4. 29
  5. 30
  6. 41
  7. 2
  8. 7

Jackpot€1,184,822

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,833 of 4,854 under them

← 2017-08-04All recent draws2017-08-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 8 16 29 30 41 + 2 729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 August 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

78oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 78 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 98% of every possible ticket.

  • sum27th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread47th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 224 of each

5218times
8217times
16230times
29209times
30

Prize breakdown · 2017-08-05

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.1Mto 78k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 62 winnerschance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • 669%€1.5M
  • 5+C7.4%€158.4K
  • 314%€296.6K
  • 2 other tiers10%€204.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 62≈ 0.33 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

211times
41216times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,832 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 8, 29, 41) with the draw of 16 January 2016 — its closest relative in 1,832 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 August 2017): 16 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 40% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€740,864
  • 5+C1≈ 3.9 by chance€158,350
  • 584≈ 80 by chance€943
  • 44,250≈ 4.4k by chance€29.50
  • 374,145≈ 81k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 74,145 winners, 8% fewer than the 81k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    62€740,864
    5+C1€158,350
    584€943
    44,250€29.50
    374,145€4.00
    R0€0.50