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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 3 August 2017

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 9
  3. 20
  4. 21
  5. 26
  6. 40
  7. 1
  8. 34

Jackpot€560,443

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,831 of 4,854 under them

← 2017-08-02All recent draws2017-08-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 9 20 21 26 40 + 1 3429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 August 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.

  • sum18th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread47th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 224 of each

4207times
9219times
20237times
21219times
26

Prize breakdown · 2017-08-03

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€636.4Kto 74k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.31

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€154.8K
  • 419%€122.5K
  • 344%€281.7K
  • 1 other tier12%€77.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.31 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

234times
40234times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,830 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (9, 20, 26) with the draw of 26 December 2016 — its closest relative in 1,830 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 August 2017): 9, 21 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

120

The numbers add up to 120 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.7 by chance
€154,779
  • 558≈ 76 by chance€1,334
  • 43,610≈ 4.2k by chance€33.94
  • 370,415≈ 76k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,610 winners, 14% fewer than the 4.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€154,779
    558€1,334
    43,610€33.94
    370,415€4.00
    R0€0.50