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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 18 May 2017

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 21
  3. 37
  4. 40
  5. 41
  6. 46
  7. 2
  8. 16

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,765 of 4,854 under them

← 2017-05-17All recent draws2017-05-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 21 37 40 41 46 + 2 1629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 May 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 74% of every possible ticket.

  • sum92th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 216 of each

12213times
21212times
37202times
40227times
41

Prize breakdown · 2017-05-18

  • Lines in play≈ 3.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€545.8Kto 56k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • 5+C27%€145.6K
  • 421%€115.3K
  • 339%€212.1K
  • 1 other tier13%€72.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.23 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

206times
46202times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,764 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (21, 37, 41) with the draw of 9 May 2017 — its closest relative in 1,764 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 May 2017): 46 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

197

The numbers add up to 197 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 51% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 2.8 by chance
€145,623
  • 539≈ 57 by chance€1,867
  • 42,682≈ 3.2k by chance€42.98
  • 353,028≈ 58k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 2,682 winners, 15% fewer than the 3.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€145,623
    539€1,867
    42,682€42.98
    353,028€4.00
    R0€0.50