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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 1 May 2017

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 12
  3. 15
  4. 19
  5. 38
  6. 46
  7. 4
  8. 4

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,750 of 4,855 under them

← 2017-04-29All recent draws2017-05-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 12 15 19 38 46 + 4 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 May 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.

  • sum37th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread52th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 214 of each

9213times
12211times
15209times
19230times
38

Prize breakdown · 2017-05-01

  • Lines in play≈ 2.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€542.7Kto 45k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • 631%€167.2K
  • 525%€133.8K
  • 332%€171.2K
  • 1 other tier13%€70.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.19 by chance€167,198

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

220times
46200times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,749 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 19, 38, 46) with the draw of 9 July 2016 — its closest relative in 1,749 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 April 2017): 19 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

139

The numbers add up to 139 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • 5+C0≈ 2.3 by chanceno winners
  • 542≈ 46 by chance€3,185
  • 42,346≈ 2.6k by chance€30.09
  • 342,790≈ 46k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 2,346 winners, 8% fewer than the 2.6k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€167,198
    5+C0€0.00
    542€3,185
    42,346€30.09
    342,790€4.00
    R0€0.50