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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 15 March 2017

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 22
  3. 23
  4. 28
  5. 31
  6. 40
  7. 5
  8. 14

Jackpot€273,409

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,710 of 4,855 under them

← 2017-03-14All recent draws2017-03-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 22 23 28 31 40 + 5 1429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 March 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

74oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 74 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 95% of every possible ticket.

  • sum48th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread47th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 209 of each

4195times
22217times
23197times
28210times
31

Prize breakdown · 2017-03-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€690.2Kto 81k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.34

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€167.9K
  • 419%€132.9K
  • 344%€305.4K
  • 1 other tier12%€84.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.34 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

223times
40214times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,709 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 22, 28, 40) with the draw of 6 March 2017 — its closest relative in 1,709 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 March 2017): 4, 28 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

148

The numbers add up to 148 — the 47th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
4≈ 4.0 by chance
€41,981
  • 5104≈ 83 by chance€807
  • 44,983≈ 4.5k by chance€26.68
  • 376,340≈ 83k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,983 winners, 10% more than the 4.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C4€41,981
    5104€807
    44,983€26.68
    376,340€4.00
    R0€0.50