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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 2 March 2017

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 6
  3. 7
  4. 9
  5. 44
  6. 48
  7. 8
  8. 22

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,699 of 4,855 under them

← 2017-03-01All recent draws2017-03-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 6 7 9 44 48 + 8 2229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 March 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 13% of every possible ticket.

  • sum17th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap100th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 208 of each

4192times
6188times
7205times
9205times
44

Prize breakdown · 2017-03-02

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€616.6Kto 79k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€139.1K
  • 418%€110.2K
  • 348%€297.8K
  • 1 other tier11%€69.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.33 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

199times
48198times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,698 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 6, 9) with the draw of 1 November 2016 — its closest relative in 1,698 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 March 2017): 48 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

118

The numbers add up to 118 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 32% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.9 by chance
€139,126
  • 566≈ 81 by chance€1,054
  • 44,227≈ 4.4k by chance€26.06
  • 374,440≈ 81k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 74,440 winners, 8% fewer than the 81k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€139,126
    566€1,054
    44,227€26.06
    374,440€4.00
    R0€0.50