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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 21 February 2017

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 15
  3. 16
  4. 17
  5. 30
  6. 31
  7. 8
  8. 19

Jackpot€900,915

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,691 of 4,854 under them

← 2017-02-20All recent draws2017-02-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 15 16 17 30 31 + 8 1929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 February 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.

  • sum13th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread14th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 207 of each

4190times
15200times
16210times
17190times
30

Prize breakdown · 2017-02-21

  • Lines in play≈ 5.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.0Mto 86k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.36

Where the money went

  • 663%€1.2M
  • 5+C9.0%€176.8K
  • 317%€325.7K
  • 2 other tiers12%€228.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.36 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

198times
31218times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,690 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 15, 16, 17) with the draw of 6 February 2012 — its closest relative in 1,690 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 February 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

113

The numbers add up to 113 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16, 16–17, 30–31. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 29% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,232,323
  • 5+C2≈ 4.3 by chance€88,375
  • 577≈ 88 by chance€1,148
  • 44,402≈ 4.9k by chance€31.79
  • 381,416≈ 88k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,402 winners, 9% fewer than the 4.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€1,232,323
    5+C2€88,375
    577€1,148
    44,402€31.79
    381,416€4.00
    R0€0.50