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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 1 February 2017

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 9
  3. 11
  4. 15
  5. 22
  6. 26
  7. 3
  8. 21

Jackpot€894,533

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,674 of 4,854 under them

← 2017-01-31All recent draws2017-02-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 9 11 15 22 26 + 3 2129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 February 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

22oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 22 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd77th
  • low94th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 205 of each

3209times
9202times
11208times
15196times
22

Prize breakdown · 2017-02-01

  • Lines in play≈ 7.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€845.4Kto 121k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.50

Where the money went

  • 5+C20%€169.7K
  • 416%€134.3K
  • 354%€456.5K
  • 1 other tier10%€84.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.50 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

213times
26211times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,673 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 9, 11, 22) with the draw of 12 December 2011 — its closest relative in 1,673 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 January 2017): 11 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

86

The numbers add up to 86 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5≈ 6.0 by chance
€33,939
  • 5139≈ 124 by chance€610
  • 47,065≈ 6.8k by chance€19.01
  • 3114,137≈ 124k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 114,137 winners, 8% fewer than the 124k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C5€33,939
    5139€610
    47,065€19.01
    3114,137€4.00
    R0€0.50