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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 15 December 2016

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 11
  3. 21
  4. 23
  5. 43
  6. 45
  7. 7
  8. 8

Jackpot€617,529

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,633 of 4,854 under them

← 2016-12-14All recent draws2016-12-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 11 21 23 43 45 + 7 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 December 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 58% of every possible ticket.

  • sum54th
  • odd94th
  • low77th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 200 of each

10232times
11201times
21192times
23188times
43

Prize breakdown · 2016-12-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€649.1Kto 78k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€154.2K
  • 419%€122.1K
  • 346%€295.7K
  • 1 other tier12%€77.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.33 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

185times
45199times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,632 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 11, 21, 43) with the draw of 10 March 2015 — its closest relative in 1,632 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 December 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

153

The numbers add up to 153 — the 53th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 3.9 by chance
€77,091
  • 553≈ 80 by chance€1,455
  • 43,938≈ 4.4k by chance€31.00
  • 373,925≈ 80k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,938 winners, 11% fewer than the 4.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€77,091
    553€1,455
    43,938€31.00
    373,925€4.00
    R0€0.50