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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 19 November 2016

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 8
  3. 9
  4. 13
  5. 22
  6. 25
  7. 3
  8. 45

Jackpot€6,738,522

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,611 of 4,854 under them

← 2016-11-18All recent draws2016-11-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 8 9 13 22 25 + 3 4529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 November 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

32oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 10% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd48th
  • low99th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 197 of each

2199times
8192times
9192times
13184times
22

Prize breakdown · 2016-11-19

  • Lines in play≈ 8.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€8.1Mto 143k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.59

Where the money went

  • 688%€7.1M
  • 5+C2.5%€199.9K
  • 36.6%€539.0K
  • 2 other tiers3.2%€258.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.59 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

206times
25201times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,610 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 9, 13, 25) with the draw of 11 December 2012 — its closest relative in 1,610 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 November 2016): 13 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

79

The numbers add up to 79 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€7,113,424
  • 5+C7≈ 7.1 by chance€28,564
  • 5196≈ 146 by chance€510
  • 48,333≈ 8.0k by chance€19.00
  • 3134,742≈ 146k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 134,742 winners, 8% fewer than the 146k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€7,113,424
    5+C7€28,564
    5196€510
    48,333€19.00
    3134,742€4.00
    R0€0.50