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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 3 October 2016

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 5
  4. 7
  5. 22
  6. 44
  7. 4
  8. 7

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,570 of 4,854 under them

← 2016-10-01All recent draws2016-10-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 5 7 22 44 + 4 729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 192 of each

2193times
3193times
5181times
7193times
22

Prize breakdown · 2016-10-03

  • Lines in play≈ 5.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€924.2Kto 102k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.42

Where the money went

  • 626%€244.2K
  • 5+C14%€130.2K
  • 341%€381.6K
  • 2 other tiers18%€168.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.42 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

194times
44187times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,569 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 5, 22, 44) with the draw of 30 April 2016 — its closest relative in 1,569 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 October 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

83

The numbers add up to 83 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 29% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€244,156
  • 5+C6≈ 5.0 by chance€21,703
  • 5116≈ 103 by chance€561
  • 46,288≈ 5.7k by chance€16.39
  • 395,406≈ 104k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 6,288 winners, 11% more than the 5.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€244,156
    5+C6€21,703
    5116€561
    46,288€16.39
    395,406€4.00
    R0€0.50