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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 27 September 2016

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 10
  3. 12
  4. 17
  5. 31
  6. 34
  7. 3
  8. 24

Jackpot€272,452

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,565 of 4,854 under them

← 2016-09-26All recent draws2016-09-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 10 12 17 31 34 + 3 2429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 September 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 37% of every possible ticket.

  • sum10th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread22th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 192 of each

4179times
10220times
12183times
17180times
31

Prize breakdown · 2016-09-27

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€637.1Kto 80k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€146.0K
  • 418%€115.6K
  • 347%€302.6K
  • 1 other tier11%€73.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.33 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

207times
34197times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,564 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 12, 17, 31) with the draw of 23 December 2015 — its closest relative in 1,564 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 September 2016): 4 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

108

The numbers add up to 108 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 4.0 by chance
€145,987
  • 575≈ 82 by chance€973
  • 44,210≈ 4.5k by chance€27.45
  • 375,641≈ 82k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 75,641 winners, 8% fewer than the 82k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€145,987
    575€973
    44,210€27.45
    375,641€4.00
    R0€0.50