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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 23 September 2016

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 8
  4. 17
  5. 26
  6. 47
  7. 1
  8. 12

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,562 of 4,854 under them

← 2016-09-22All recent draws2016-09-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 8 17 26 47 + 1 1229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 September 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread95th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 191 of each

1188times
2191times
8185times
17179times
26

Prize breakdown · 2016-09-23

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€651.0Kto 82k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.34

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€147.5K
  • 418%€116.8K
  • 348%€313.0K
  • 1 other tier11%€73.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.34 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

200times
47193times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,561 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 17, 47) with the draw of 21 May 2016 — its closest relative in 1,561 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 September 2016): 8 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 36% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.1 by chance
€73,756
  • 575≈ 85 by chance€983
  • 44,141≈ 4.7k by chance€28.20
  • 378,239≈ 85k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,141 winners, 11% fewer than the 4.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€73,756
    575€983
    44,141€28.20
    378,239€4.00
    R0€0.50