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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 15 September 2016

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 11
  3. 19
  4. 26
  5. 36
  6. 44
  7. 3
  8. 42

Jackpot€1,858,030

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,555 of 4,854 under them

← 2016-09-14All recent draws2016-09-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 11 19 26 36 44 + 3 4229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 September 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 56% of every possible ticket.

  • sum36th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 190 of each

2190times
11193times
19210times
26198times
36

Prize breakdown · 2016-09-15

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 86k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.36

Where the money went

  • 675%€2.2M
  • 5+C6.0%€176.5K
  • 311%€328.5K
  • 2 other tiers7.8%€227.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.36 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

214times
44186times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,554 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 11, 36, 44) with the draw of 15 July 2014 — its closest relative in 1,554 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 78% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 September 2016): 26, 44 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,188,926
  • 5+C3≈ 4.3 by chance€58,826
  • 582≈ 89 by chance€1,076
  • 44,223≈ 4.9k by chance€33.08
  • 382,116≈ 89k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,223 winners, 14% fewer than the 4.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€2,188,926
    5+C3€58,826
    582€1,076
    44,223€33.08
    382,116€4.00
    R0€0.50