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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 10 September 2016

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 11
  3. 21
  4. 25
  5. 42
  6. 43
  7. 4
  8. 20

Jackpot€552,442

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,551 of 4,854 under them

← 2016-09-09All recent draws2016-09-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 11 21 25 42 43 + 4 2029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 September 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 71% of every possible ticket.

  • sum43th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap65th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread72th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 190 of each

2188times
11192times
21184times
25192times
42

Prize breakdown · 2016-09-10

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€625.3Kto 75k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.31

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€148.0K
  • 419%€117.2K
  • 346%€286.1K
  • 1 other tier12%€74.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.31 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

209times
43178times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,550 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 21, 42, 43) with the draw of 8 September 2010 — its closest relative in 1,550 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 78% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 September 2016): 2, 11, 43 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

144

The numbers add up to 144 — the 42th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 3.8 by chance
€49,340
  • 566≈ 77 by chance€1,121
  • 43,763≈ 4.3k by chance€31.14
  • 371,529≈ 78k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,763 winners, 12% fewer than the 4.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€49,340
    566€1,121
    43,763€31.14
    371,529€4.00
    R0€0.50